What do the Oscars have in common with America’s Next Top Model?

Other than plastic surgery, free-floating ego and stylists that is.

OK – I’m embarassed to say that I have only seen two of the movies that received any major Oscar nominations:
The Visitor – Richard Jenkins performance was wonderful
The Dark Knight – this got too hyped so I was a little disappointed

Being so disconnected came from a combination of waiting for things to come on cable and watching the cash flow since I was laid off from my day job in June.

I am going to use the very unscientific method I used for the America’s Next Top Model office pool at my former employer WaMu. The pool organizers would pass around a sheet with photos of all the contenders and you would pick the finalists in order, who would cry first, the biggest b*tch, etc. I usually did better than most people based on the photo alone. I didn’t watch the show.

Based on the photos/clips/trailers I have seen and what little media has slipped in while I’ve been heads-down editing my environmentally themed sci-fi thriller Greenspoke (look for it on the festival circuit later this year), these are my predictions (thanks to Raj Rayru for the list I copied and pasted):

Best Actor
Sean PennMilk
Frank LangellaFrost/Nixon
Mickey RourkeThe Wrestler
Brad PittThe Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Richard JenkinsThe Visitor

Brad Pitt – who doesn’t like a buff little old guy? That could apply to Mickey Rourke too though and I loved his speech at the BAFA awards ceremony.
Best Actress
Ann HathawayRachel Getting Married
Meryl StreepDoubt
Angelina JolieChangeling
Kate WinsletThe Reader
Melissa LeoFrozen River

Kate Winslet – the dark dark side of Summer of ’42 and just the right actress to pull that off
Best Supporting Actor
Josh BrolinMilk
Philip Seymour HoffmanDoubt
Robert Downey JrTropic Thunder
Heath LedgerThe Dark Knight
Michael ShannonRevolutionary Road

Heath Ledger – again the buzz is deafening, and this is a nice way to say goodbye
Best Supporting Actress
Amy AdamsDoubt
Viola Davis – Doubt
Penélope CruzVicky Christina Barcelona
Marisa TomeiThe Wrestler
Taraji HensonThe Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Marisa Tomei – clips look wonderful. Amy Adams is the only other clip I’ve seen – I adore her but don’t think that film is going to do well in the awards after seeing the play.
Best Director
Danny BoyleSlumdog Millionaire
David Fincher – Benjamin Button
Stephen Daldry – The Reader
Ron Howard – Frost/Nixon
Gus Van Sant – Milk

Ron Howard – because I hope that movies that examine our political past and future get recognition
Best Picture
Danny Boyle – Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher – Benjamin Button
Stephen Daldry – The Reader
Ron Howard – Frost/Nixon
Gus Van Sant – Milk

Slumdog Millionaire – because the Oscar business is entertainment
Best Animated Picture
Kung Fu Panda

Wall-E – because Karen Lloyd (storyboard guru) adores this movie

This is all in fun and based in ignorant gut feeling with little scientific or cultural significance. Let’s see how that works out. Now to get back to editing Greenspoke.


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