What do the Oscars have in common with America’s Next Top Model?

Other than plastic surgery, free-floating ego and stylists that is.

OK – I’m embarassed to say that I have only seen two of the movies that received any major Oscar nominations:
The Visitor – Richard Jenkins performance was wonderful
The Dark Knight – this got too hyped so I was a little disappointed

Being so disconnected came from a combination of waiting for things to come on cable and watching the cash flow since I was laid off from my day job in June.

I am going to use the very unscientific method I used for the America’s Next Top Model office pool at my former employer WaMu. The pool organizers would pass around a sheet with photos of all the contenders and you would pick the finalists in order, who would cry first, the biggest b*tch, etc. I usually did better than most people based on the photo alone. I didn’t watch the show.

Based on the photos/clips/trailers I have seen and what little media has slipped in while I’ve been heads-down editing my environmentally themed sci-fi thriller Greenspoke (look for it on the festival circuit later this year), these are my predictions (thanks to Raj Rayru for the list I copied and pasted):

Best Actor
Sean PennMilk
Frank LangellaFrost/Nixon
Mickey RourkeThe Wrestler
Brad PittThe Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Richard JenkinsThe Visitor

Brad Pitt – who doesn’t like a buff little old guy? That could apply to Mickey Rourke too though and I loved his speech at the BAFA awards ceremony.
*************************************************************
Best Actress
Ann HathawayRachel Getting Married
Meryl StreepDoubt
Angelina JolieChangeling
Kate WinsletThe Reader
Melissa LeoFrozen River

Kate Winslet – the dark dark side of Summer of ’42 and just the right actress to pull that off
*************************************************************
Best Supporting Actor
Josh BrolinMilk
Philip Seymour HoffmanDoubt
Robert Downey JrTropic Thunder
Heath LedgerThe Dark Knight
Michael ShannonRevolutionary Road

Heath Ledger – again the buzz is deafening, and this is a nice way to say goodbye
*************************************************************
Best Supporting Actress
Amy AdamsDoubt
Viola Davis – Doubt
Penélope CruzVicky Christina Barcelona
Marisa TomeiThe Wrestler
Taraji HensonThe Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Marisa Tomei – clips look wonderful. Amy Adams is the only other clip I’ve seen – I adore her but don’t think that film is going to do well in the awards after seeing the play.
*************************************************************
Best Director
Danny BoyleSlumdog Millionaire
David Fincher – Benjamin Button
Stephen Daldry – The Reader
Ron Howard – Frost/Nixon
Gus Van Sant – Milk

Ron Howard – because I hope that movies that examine our political past and future get recognition
*************************************************************
Best Picture
Danny Boyle – Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher – Benjamin Button
Stephen Daldry – The Reader
Ron Howard – Frost/Nixon
Gus Van Sant – Milk

Slumdog Millionaire – because the Oscar business is entertainment
*************************************************************
Best Animated Picture
Wall-E
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda

Wall-E – because Karen Lloyd (storyboard guru) adores this movie
*************************************************************

This is all in fun and based in ignorant gut feeling with little scientific or cultural significance. Let’s see how that works out. Now to get back to editing Greenspoke.

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